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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.43 | $0.950 | $0.42 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 121 |
| $0.640 |
| $77.44 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 118 | $0.650 | $76.7 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 90 | $0.850 | $76.5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 90 | $0.850 | $76.5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.120 | $13.32 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 139 | $0.490 | $68.11 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.140 | $10.64 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 32 | $0.130 | $4.16 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 64 | $0.400 | $25.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 31 | $0.740 | $22.94 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 169 | $0.110 | $18.59 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 77 | $0.470 | $36.19 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.530 | $63.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.36 | $0.963 | $7.09 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 71 | $0.963 | $68.37 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 82 | $0.920 | $75.44 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 10.34 | $0.630 | $6.51 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 84 | $0.830 | $69.72 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 82 | $0.939 | $77 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 73 | $0.955 | $69.72 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.680 | $76.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | sell | 212 | $0.340 | $72.08 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 212 | $0.420 | $89.04 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | sell | 231 | $0.430 | $99.33 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 231 | $0.420 | $97.02 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 4 | $0.959 | $3.84 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 67 | $0.988 | $66.2 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.500 | $49 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.013 | $2.02 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 282 | $0.041 | $11.56 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 282 | $0.039 | $11 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 113 | $0.012 | $1.36 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 108 | $0.810 | $87.48 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 48.57 | $0.285 | $13.84 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 99 | $0.970 | $96.03 | May 30, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 99 | $0.969 | $95.93 | May 30, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 35 | $0.710 | $24.85 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.790 | $8.69 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 3 | $0.993 | $2.98 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 112 | $0.097 | $10.87 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.091 | $10.19 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.93 | $0.071 | $2.34 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 89 | $0.430 | $38.27 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 90.59 | $0.974 | $88.23 | May 25, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 94 | $0.975 | $91.65 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 93 | $0.018 | $1.67 | May 25, 2026 |