Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 13.56 | $0.931 | $13.24 | +$0.62 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.598 | $0.02 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 23.37 |
| $0.643 |
| $11.41 |
| -$3.62 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 13.42 | $0.300 | $10.67 | +$6.64 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 10.25 | $0.882 | $10.06 | +$1.02 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 9.71 | $0.933 | $9.34 | +$0.28 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 7.94 | $0.961 | $7.94 | +$0.31 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 8.95 | $0.901 | $7.3 | -$0.76 |
 Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 6.73 | $0.844 | $6.72 | +$1.04 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 7.56 | $0.672 | $6.33 | +$1.25 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 5.95 | $0.900 | $5.51 | +$0.15 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 8.78 | $0.444 | $4.61 | +$0.71 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5.13 | $0.890 | $4.54 | -$0.03 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 4.52 | $0.725 | $3.75 | +$0.48 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.87 | $0.270 | $3.29 | -$1.27 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | No | 3.19 | $0.939 | $3.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.25 | $0.964 | $2.24 | +$0.07 |
 Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | -$0 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.09 | $0.959 | $1.98 | -$0.02 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.09 | $0.956 | $1.93 | -$0.07 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.38 | $0.770 | $1.91 | +$0.08 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 2.07 | $0.560 | $1.86 | +$0.69 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2 | $0.756 | $1.75 | +$0.24 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.33 | $0.975 | $1.31 | +$0.01 |
| sell |
| 0.03 |
| $0.530 |
| $0.02 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.530 | $1.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.540 | $1.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.596 | $0.02 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.957 | $1.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 2.24 | $0.894 | $2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 7.86 | $0.140 | $1.1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 7.86 | $0.140 | $1.1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 7.86 | $0.140 | $1.1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 7.86 | $0.140 | $1.1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.597 | $0.02 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.597 | $0.02 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.598 | $0.02 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.598 | $0.02 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 0.17 | $0.540 | $0.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 0.17 | $0.540 | $0.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 0.17 | $0.540 | $0.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.596 | $0.02 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.820 | $0.02 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.820 | $0.02 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.930 | $0.2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 0.22 | $0.540 | $0.12 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.540 | $0.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.540 | $0.04 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.910 | $0.01 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.910 | $0.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.910 | $0.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.910 | $0.07 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.900 | $0.01 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.900 | $0.01 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.900 | $0.01 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.966 | $0.06 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.966 | $0.06 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.966 | $0.06 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.966 | $0.03 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.966 | $0.03 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.920 | $0.06 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 0.06 | $0.920 | $0.06 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.920 | $0.02 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 0.29 | $0.930 | $0.27 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 0.29 | $0.930 | $0.27 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.600 | $1.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.540 | $0.03 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.550 | $0.2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.550 | $0.2 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No | buy | 2.4 | $0.455 | $1.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No | buy | 2.4 | $0.455 | $1.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 0.02 | $0.920 | $0.02 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.860 | $1.09 | Jul 9, 2026 |