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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.998 | $1.48 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No| buy |
| 1.34 |
| $0.991 |
| $1.33 |
| Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.981 | $1.65 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.969 | $1.55 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Streaks be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.999 | $1.28 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.999 | $1.6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.990 | $1.36 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.971 | $1.25 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.998 | $1.27 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.999 | $1.32 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.998 | $1.28 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.998 | $1.42 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.995 | $1.45 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.965 | $1.25 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down on December 30?Down | buy | 282 | $0.500 | $141 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.975 | $2.1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.988 | $2.11 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.997 | $1.45 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.995 | $1.16 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.960 | $2.04 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?No | buy | 2.77 | $0.998 | $2.76 | Sep 30, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Sep 30, 2025 |
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.992 | $1.17 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will the Patriotic Electoral Bloc win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.931 | $1.22 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.26 | $0.940 | $1.18 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.985 | $1.15 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.932 | $2.5 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.965 | $3.5 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 3.96 | $0.960 | $3.8 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.960 | $4 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 2.64 | $0.986 | $2.6 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 3.27 | $0.980 | $3.2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 4.14 | $0.967 | $4 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.67 | $0.974 | $5.52 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.14 | $0.969 | $4.98 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 5.97 | $0.922 | $5.5 | May 28, 2025 |
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 5.61 | $0.927 | $5.2 | May 28, 2025 |
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.980 | $4.9 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5.73 | $0.981 | $5.62 | Apr 16, 2025 |
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 5.74 | $0.976 | $5.6 | Mar 19, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 12.98 | $0.949 | $12.32 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 7.06 | $0.989 | $6.98 | Oct 30, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.85K | $0.335 | $1.29K | Oct 30, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.94K | $0.665 | $1.29K | Oct 30, 2024 |
Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.991 | $7 | Oct 30, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 28.09 | $0.715 | $20.08 | Oct 12, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 28.09 | $0.713 | $20.03 | Oct 12, 2024 |