Latest trade
Dec 8, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:49 AM UTC.
Analytics
Ivory Raven 32B7 is down $1.77 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 24 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 8, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 5:49 AM UTC.
$9.4 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 24 markets; 44.0% were buys. They run from Dec 7, 2025 UTC to Dec 8, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.44 | $0.360 | $0.07 | -$0.09 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.680 | $4.08 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-01 14:07 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 05:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 05:49 UTC
polymarket positions
25 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-01 14:07 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $9.95 and losing ones cost $11.72 across 24 settled positions. 25% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $8.58 on “Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.05 on “Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 Dec 2025. It has traded 24 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.07 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 10 |
| $0.850 |
| $8.5 |
| Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.730 | $4.38 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.943 | $2.83 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.890 | $9.79 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.420 | $9.66 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.692 | $14.53 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.283 | $7.64 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.330 | $7.92 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.338 | $9.13 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 139 | $0.042 | $5.84 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.350 | $3.15 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.150 | $4.35 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.750 | $9 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.620 | $9.92 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.730 | $24.09 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?Avatar | sell | 128 | $0.070 | $8.96 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?Yes | sell | 666 | $0.029 | $19.31 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.21 | $0.935 | $3 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.713 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.390 | $8.58 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.870 | $9 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.210 | $5.04 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.670 | $8.71 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.250 | $12 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 20.58 | $0.583 | $12 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel strike 1 country in December 2025?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.350 | $9.1 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.700 | $13.3 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.090 | $4.05 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 416 | $0.043 | $17.91 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?Avatar | buy | 128.57 | $0.070 | $9 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 27.31 | $0.366 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 27.33 | $0.366 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 33.78 | $0.740 | $25 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.030 | $20 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 14.64 | $0.683 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | sell | 92 | $0.115 | $10.57 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 92.31 | $0.130 | $12 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 34 | $0.350 | $11.9 | Dec 7, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.