Analytics
4sales has made $59.82 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October? | No | 282.65 | $0.709 | $277.13 | +$76.77 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 22:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
22 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 07:58 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 07:58 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 22:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.7K and losing ones cost $1.23K across the latest 50 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $153.38 on “Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $177.52 on “Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (No).
It has traded 271 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.48K across 22 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 290 |
| $0.740 |
| $276.95 |
| +$62.35 |
 Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | No | 229.56 | $0.258 | $189.73 | +$130.5 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 12% or more? | No | 200 | $0.790 | $178 | +$20 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26? | Down | 277.18 | $0.453 | $127.5 | +$1.86 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 166.96 | $0.591 | $104.27 | +$5.56 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | No | 262.75 | $0.300 | $101.16 | +$22.33 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? | Yes | 125.02 | $0.261 | $62.32 | +$29.69 |
 Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 201.7 | $0.466 | $46.39 | -$47.61 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 3%-6%? | Yes | 290 | $0.150 | $45.53 | +$1.93 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 159.2 | $0.085 | $17.75 | +$4.21 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 20.52 | $0.730 | $14.77 | -$0.21 |
 Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.600 | $13.5 | +$1.5 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | No | 36.23 | $0.627 | $6.61 | -$16.11 |
 Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? | No | 99.32 | $0.073 | $5.11 | -$2.1 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 4.88 | $0.205 | $4.77 | +$3.76 |
 Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 47.02 | $0.200 | $4 | -$5.41 |
 Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October? | No | 7 | $0.680 | $3.85 | -$0.91 |
 Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? | No | 28 | $0.090 | $2.27 | -$0.25 |
 Will Tyler Warren have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 9 | $0.120 | $1.22 | +$0.14 |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% in October? | No | 1.08 | $0.847 | $1.05 | +$0.13 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | No | 0.35 | $0.650 | $0.29 | +$0.06 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
