Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.960 | $0.99 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.07 |
| $0.951 |
| $1.02 |
| Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.947 | $1.02 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.975 | $1.07 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.946 | $1.03 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.980 | $1.08 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.951 | $1.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.977 | $1.01 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.998 | $1.02 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will England win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 8.12 | $0.502 | $4.08 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?Yes | buy | 13.6 | $0.750 | $10.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.945 | $1.08 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.930 | $1.08 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.963 | $1.13 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.990 | $1.22 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.997 | $1.23 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.34 | $0.981 | $1.31 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.997 | $1.04 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.996 | $1.01 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.944 | $1.11 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.999 | $1.18 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.930 | $1.08 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.968 | $1.11 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.974 | $1.31 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.990 | $1.22 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.2K | $0.001 | $10.2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.6K | $0.001 | $10.6 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.979 | $1.05 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 1.31 | $0.926 | $1.21 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 1.39 | $0.959 | $1.33 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.987 | $1.42 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.999 | $1.54 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 1.73 | $0.982 | $1.7 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.936 | $1.23 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 1.73 | $0.969 | $1.68 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.957 | $1.38 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.980 | $1.05 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.961 | $1.34 | May 23, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.998 | $1.55 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.998 | $1.54 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.996 | $1.33 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.99K | $0.001 | $10.99 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.32 | $0.935 | $1.23 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.985 | $1.23 | May 15, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | sell | 2.26 | $0.992 | $2.24 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | sell | 6.86 | $0.996 | $6.83 | May 15, 2026 |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No | buy | 6.87 | $0.993 | $6.82 | May 6, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.938 | $1.48 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.959 | $1.45 | Apr 12, 2026 |