Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.751 | $22.53 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.280 |
| $5.6 |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.632 | $12.64 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.974 | $9.74 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 5?Yes | buy | 72.5 | $0.010 | $0.73 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.038 | $1.15 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.011 | $0.13 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.983 | $11.8 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.670 | $13.4 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 27?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.587 | $5.87 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.958 | $47.9 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.430 | $12.9 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 8 | $0.710 | $5.68 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 18?No | buy | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Union Progressiste pour le Renouveau (UPR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.920 | $4.6 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Cintas (CTAS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Zelensky resigns in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 8.25 | $0.957 | $7.9 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.510 | $6.12 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.300 | $3.6 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 0.2 | $0.090 | $0.02 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.084 | $1.01 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 11?No | buy | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 December 8-14?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.080 | $1.04 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $160 on December 10?No | buy | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $150 on December 10?No | buy | 5 | $0.973 | $4.87 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.113 | $1.13 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 10?No | buy | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.039 | $1.17 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberNo | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.988 | $4.94 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 9?No | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.341 | $13.63 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Costco say "Kirkland" during earnings call?Yes | sell | 16.5 | $0.920 | $15.18 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Costco say "Membership" during earnings call?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.983 | $19.66 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Costco say "Revenue" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Costco say "Inventory" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Costco say "Kirkland" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 16.5 | $0.940 | $15.51 | Dec 5, 2025 |