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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 31 |
| $0.670 |
| $20.77 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 26 | $0.660 | $17.16 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 44 | $0.850 | $37.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.880 | $41.36 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.130 | $10.14 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.200 | $9.6 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.390 | $17.55 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.490 | $7.84 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 29.13 | $0.480 | $13.98 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.170 | $2.21 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.140 | $7.14 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 68 | $0.580 | $39.44 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.976 | $38.06 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.973 | $37.95 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 58 | $0.730 | $42.34 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 58 | $0.730 | $42.34 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.460 | $3.68 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 44 | $0.949 | $41.76 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.620 | $19.22 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.620 | $42.16 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.013 | $0.99 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.013 | $0.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.660 | $38.28 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.927 | $41.72 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.913 | $41.09 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.933 | $41.99 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.935 | $42.08 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.035 | $1.02 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.945 | $33.07 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.920 | $31.28 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.540 | $31.32 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.015 | $1.04 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.450 | $34.2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.510 | $7.14 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 72.36 | $0.246 | $17.8 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.271 | $40.65 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 46 | $0.930 | $42.79 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.780 | $39 | May 27, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 84 | $0.510 | $42.84 | May 26, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 51 | $0.470 | $23.97 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 27 | $0.974 | $26.3 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.984 | $32.47 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.968 | $32.91 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.942 | $0.94 | May 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.810 | $31.59 | May 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.810 | $31.59 | May 21, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.044 | $46.68 | May 14, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.06K | $0.044 | $46.71 | May 14, 2026 |