Analytics
Careful-Misnomer is down $493.75 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson? | No | 20 | $0.560 | $10.6 | -$0.6 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-23 08:46 UTC
Polymarket public position response
8 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 02:39 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 02:39 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-23 08:46 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $2K and losing ones cost $1.89K across the latest 50 settled positions. 36% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $315.99 on “Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $364.09 on “Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 339 markets. Its open positions are worth $33.21 across 8 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 15 |
| $0.500 |
| $7.35 |
| -$0.15 |
 Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October? | Yes | 20 | $0.356 | $6.43 | -$0.69 |
 Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30? | Yes | 14.46 | $0.300 | $3.04 | -$1.3 |
 Will Vance peak at Category 2? | No | 20 | $0.140 | $3 | +$0.2 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026? | No | 4.13 | $0.390 | $1.51 | -$0.1 |
 Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1? | Yes | 10 | $0.150 | $1.25 | -$0.25 |
 Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? | Yes | 0.17 | $0.230 | $0.04 | -$0 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
