Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 41.55 | $0.238 | $1.14 | -$8.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 440.3 | $0.889 | $391.61 | 9d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 67.39 |
| $0.150 |
| $0.61 |
| -$9.48 |
| sell |
| 11.66 |
| $0.958 |
| $11.17 |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | sell | 120.72 | $0.825 | $99.59 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 11.67 | $0.900 | $10.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev | buy | 44.38 | $0.550 | $24.41 | May 31, 2026 |
 Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs | buy | 226.26 | $0.430 | $97.29 | May 30, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 8.04 | $0.670 | $5.39 | May 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.25 | $0.880 | $10.78 | May 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 10.61 | $0.900 | $9.55 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 41.55 | $0.238 | $9.89 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 67.39 | $0.150 | $10.09 | May 23, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 27.28 | $0.903 | $24.63 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 1.29K | $0.704 | $908.17 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.766 | $987.01 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 61.31 | $0.986 | $60.45 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 72.82 | $0.994 | $72.38 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 52.59 | $0.850 | $44.7 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 63.59 | $0.701 | $44.58 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 95.82 | $0.890 | $85.28 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 8.72 | $0.690 | $6.02 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 28.13 | $0.004 | $0.11 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 17.7 | $0.690 | $12.21 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 28.14 | $0.870 | $24.48 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 72.82 | $0.670 | $48.79 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 95.83 | $0.880 | $84.33 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 34.86 | $0.920 | $32.07 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 34.87 | $0.610 | $21.27 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 57.13 | $0.747 | $42.66 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 216.46 | $0.249 | $53.98 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 216.47 | $0.150 | $32.47 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?Yes | sell | 28.89 | $0.771 | $22.27 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?No | sell | 4.44 | $0.911 | $4.04 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.999 | $5.25 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | sell | 12.04 | $0.986 | $11.87 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Kiev" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?No | buy | 56.41 | $0.039 | $2.19 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.49 | $0.966 | $12.07 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 26?No | buy | 13 | $0.770 | $10.01 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.84 | $0.729 | $10.09 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.05 | $0.712 | $10.71 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 25?No | buy | 17.31 | $0.590 | $10.21 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 12.05 | $0.840 | $10.12 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.844 | $10.42 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.98 | $0.566 | $10.74 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 NATO article 5 before 2027?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.900 | $5.63 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | sell | 11.23 | $0.984 | $11.05 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 S&P 500 all time high by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No | sell | 5.49 | $0.994 | $5.46 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Nov 25, 2025 |