Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 59 | $0.010 | $0.59 | Jun 8, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 93 |
| $0.015 |
| $1.4 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.017 | $1.14 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.480 | $11.04 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.172 | $17.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.189 | $18.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.032 | $4.8 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.210 | $6.72 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 51 | $0.926 | $47.23 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 51 | $0.922 | $47.02 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 2 | $0.975 | $1.95 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Remco Evenepoel win the Tour de France 2025?No | sell | 12 | $0.974 | $11.69 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Remco Evenepoel win the Tour de France 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.979 | $11.75 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.936 | $9.36 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.979 | $9.79 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 12 | $0.976 | $11.71 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 12 | $0.971 | $11.65 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?No | buy | 12 | $0.942 | $11.3 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.965 | $9.65 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 10 | $0.894 | $8.94 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 12 | $0.968 | $11.62 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?No | sell | 9 | $0.950 | $8.55 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 9 | $0.956 | $8.6 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 9 | $0.977 | $8.79 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 9 | $0.979 | $8.81 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 10 | $0.919 | $9.19 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 9 | $0.981 | $8.83 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.982 | $8.84 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?No | sell | 9 | $0.974 | $8.77 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?No | buy | 9 | $0.970 | $8.73 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?No | buy | 9 | $0.969 | $8.72 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?No | sell | 9 | $0.987 | $8.88 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?No | buy | 15 | $0.896 | $13.44 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?No | sell | 12 | $0.987 | $11.84 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?No | buy | 21 | $0.988 | $20.75 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 20 | $0.989 | $19.78 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.039 | $1.64 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?No | buy | 21 | $0.993 | $20.85 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.340 | $18.02 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.341 | $6.14 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 13 | $0.938 | $12.19 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.975 | $9.75 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.975 | $9.75 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 13 | $0.938 | $12.19 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 4–11?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.059 | $2.89 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.024 | $0.24 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.044 | $3.04 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.023 | $1.04 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?No | sell | 19 | $0.986 | $18.73 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?No | buy | 19 | $0.989 | $18.79 | Jul 8, 2025 |