Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 203.66 |
| $0.005 |
| $1 |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 9?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 9?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 7?Yes | buy | 160.43 | $0.006 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 7?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Stable launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 GPT ads by December 31?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 8 - 14)No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Xi visit the US by December 31?Yes | buy | 135.13 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |