Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 72%. Yes opened at 73% on 1 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 84% on 4 Dec 2025 and the low 26% on 2 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 26% on 2 Dec 2025. $662.75K traded over the market's life.
160 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 9, 12:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 1 Dec 2025 – 7 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Dec 2025 | 73.0% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 28.0% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Negative-Stay | Yes | 50K |
| elbank3ro | Yes | 20K |
| Misty Beacon 8E3B | Yes | 5K |
| Rubbery-Forager | Yes | 3.02K |
| headortails | Yes | 3K |
| Bogus-Bust | Yes | 2.8K |
| Impish-Soliloquy | Yes | 2.5K |
| Palatable-Warlord | Yes | 2.37K |
| Limp-Kingdom | Yes | 2.21K |
| Capital-Achievement | Yes | 2K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-above-on-december-7
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