Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Celonis IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| No |
| 1.14 |
| $0.880 |
| $1.09 |
| +$0.09 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.89 | -$0.11 |
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?No| buy |
| 1.09 |
| $0.919 |
| $1 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Climate fund initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Cerebras IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.860 | $1.06 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.11 | $0.908 | $1.01 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by January 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Celonis IPO before 2027?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 xAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Cerebras IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro mugshot released by Monday?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.29 | $0.975 | $1.26 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.360 | $1.71 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 8?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.947 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.007 | $0.88 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.482 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.963 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.050 | $0.24 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Ukraine election called in 2025?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 17, 2025 |