Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.989 |
| $1 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 9?Down | buy | 370 | $0.480 | $177.6 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.971 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.823 | $0.86 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.992 | $2 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.932 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.15 | $0.953 | $3 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.967 | $2 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.976 | $2 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?No | buy | 4.09 | $0.979 | $4 | May 28, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.987 | $4.94 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | sell | 5.3 | $0.987 | $5.23 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 12.47 | $0.949 | $11.83 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 12.48 | $0.948 | $11.83 | Nov 12, 2024 |