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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?No | buy | 171.63 | $0.991 | $170 | Aug 2, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 212.92 |
| $0.991 |
| $211 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 255.6 | $0.982 | $251 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 110.89 | $0.992 | $110 | Jul 22, 2026 |
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsHanwha Life Esports | buy | 214.5 | $0.979 | $210 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 151.43 | $0.991 | $150 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 124.12 | $0.991 | $123 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 130 | $0.997 | $129.61 | Jun 26, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 179.12 | $0.977 | $175 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 182.93 | $0.984 | $180 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 205.23 | $0.975 | $200 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 148 | $0.973 | $144 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 161.97 | $0.994 | $161 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No | buy | 182.56 | $0.986 | $180 | May 15, 2026 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No | buy | 174.67 | $0.979 | $171 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?Yes | buy | 171.68 | $0.989 | $169.72 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 162.11 | $0.987 | $160 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 25?Yes | buy | 83.02 | $0.963 | $79.95 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 82.07 | $0.987 | $81 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 61.16 | $0.981 | $60 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on February 10?Yes | buy | 130.39 | $0.997 | $130 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 190.09 | $0.989 | $188 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | Jan 23, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 281.41 | $0.995 | $280 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?Yes | buy | 50.2 | $0.996 | $50 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 209.78 | $0.982 | $206 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.989 | $115 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 311.56 | $0.995 | $310 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 141.57 | $0.996 | $141 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 10 above $570?No | buy | 165.06 | $0.994 | $164 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 27?Yes | buy | 310.93 | $0.997 | $310 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $112,000 on October 16?Yes | buy | 302.11 | $0.993 | $300 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,425 on September 3 at 4AM ET?No | buy | 146.46 | $0.990 | $145 | Sep 3, 2025 |
$YZY listed on Coinbase or Binance by September 30?No | buy | 153.22 | $0.979 | $150 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $110K on August 23 at 4PM ET?No | buy | 300.6 | $0.998 | $300 | Aug 23, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3400 on August 11?No | buy | 180.18 | $0.999 | $180 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3800 on August 9 at 5PM ET?No | buy | 122.12 | $0.999 | $122 | Aug 9, 2025 |
Ethereum above $2,400 on July 9?Yes | buy | 160.16 | $0.999 | $160 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 9?Yes | buy | 134.07 | $0.992 | $133 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?No | buy | 261.57 | $0.994 | $260 | Jun 7, 2025 |
OpenSea token market cap (FDV) <$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 30.09 | $0.997 | $30 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will Grande win the 2025 Kentucky Derby?No | buy | 160.32 | $0.998 | $160 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 121.09 | $0.991 | $120 | May 3, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $300 in April?No | buy | 277.83 | $0.997 | $277 | Apr 11, 2025 |
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in February?No | buy | 300.6 | $0.998 | $300 | Mar 12, 2025 |
Will XRP reach $3.80 by February 28 2025?No | buy | 160.32 | $0.998 | $160 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Feb 26, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 950-974 times Feb 7-14?No | buy | 300.8 | $0.997 | $300 | Feb 14, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 267.27 | $0.999 | $267 | Jan 22, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | sell | 300 | $0.985 | $295.5 | Dec 12, 2024 |