Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 23.29 | $0.270 | $20.14 | +$13.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?No | buy | 104 | $0.096 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 217.39 |
| $0.046 |
| $17.07 |
| +$7.07 |
 Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 16.39 | $0.390 | $15.08 | +$8.69 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10 | $0.840 | $9.83 | +$1.43 |
 Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 24 | $0.430 | $7.8 | -$2.52 |
 Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 46 | $0.220 | $1.17 | -$8.95 |
 Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.100 | $0.48 | -$2.52 |
 Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 11.5 | $0.200 | $0.31 | -$1.99 |
| sell |
| 25.23 |
| $0.130 |
| $3.28 |
| Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.280 | $9.03 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.330 | $9.9 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | buy | 26.47 | $0.340 | $9 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 13.96 | $0.473 | $6.6 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?No | buy | 5.46 | $0.915 | $5 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.081 | $1 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.210 | $7.77 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 27.27 | $0.060 | $1.64 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 59.76 | $0.117 | $7 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?Yes | sell | 7.89 | $0.050 | $0.39 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.610 | $6.62 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | buy | 38.89 | $0.180 | $7 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 14?Down | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 13?Up | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 3-9?Yes | sell | 605 | $0.002 | $1.21 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.410 | $15.17 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.046 | $10 | Nov 8, 2025 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?No | sell | 7 | $0.500 | $3.5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?No | sell | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 7?Down | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by November 15?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Russia EditionNo | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 5?Up | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 348.56 | $0.029 | $10 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 3?Up | sell | 9.61 | $0.870 | $8.36 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionYes | buy | 6.35 | $0.630 | $4 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| DAX (DAX) Up or Down on November 3?Up | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 9.23 | $0.650 | $6 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 10+ monkeypox cases in US in 2024?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Google forced to sell Chrome?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.027 | $1 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?No | sell | 6 | $0.823 | $4.94 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?No | buy | 2.31 | $0.130 | $0.3 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "John McGuire" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.170 | $0.3 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Trump win no swing states?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.900 | $4 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,750 in November?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Nov 2, 2024 |