Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.1%. Yes opened at 36% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 98.1% on 7 Dec 2025 and the low 33.5% on 6 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 65 points up, to 98.1% on 7 Dec 2025. $125.06K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 9, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 2 Dec 2025 – 7 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 36.0% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | 98.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| funding | No | 5.5K |
| Testymoney | No | 1.5K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 1.11K |
| mosafdar | No | 1K |
| WhatTheHelly | No | 700 |
| Setandforgetson | No | 675.06 |
| Solar Summit 2DAC | No | 539.45 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 411 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 316 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 301 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 1, 2025 2:00 PM ET, and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by
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