Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 177.4 | $0.957 | $169.77 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 163.13 |
| $0.940 |
| $153.34 |
| May 21, 2026 |
 Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No | buy | 148.64 | $0.975 | $144.92 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No | buy | 144.93 | $0.944 | $136.81 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 116.26 | $0.930 | $108.12 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?No | buy | 5.49K | $0.490 | $2.69K | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?No | buy | 108.12 | $0.964 | $104.23 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 81.58 | $0.930 | $75.87 | Oct 3, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 12.51 | $0.988 | $12.36 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | buy | 30.51 | $0.960 | $29.29 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Russian strike on Poland by September 30?No | buy | 32.85 | $0.979 | $32.16 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 73.81 | $0.992 | $73.22 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 73.21 | $0.990 | $72.48 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | buy | 72.48 | $0.994 | $72.05 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 72.05 | $0.994 | $71.62 | Aug 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 71.62 | $0.976 | $69.9 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 4–11?No | buy | 56.42 | $0.969 | $54.67 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Rangers vs. AngelsRangers | buy | 13.48 | $0.997 | $13.44 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 11.8 | $0.993 | $11.72 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 11.38 | $0.985 | $11.21 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No | buy | 12.26 | $0.997 | $12.22 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 22.93 | $0.992 | $22.75 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?No | buy | 32.67 | $0.973 | $31.79 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.76 | $0.977 | $65.22 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases >10000 BTC June 3-9?No | buy | 65.21 | $0.955 | $62.28 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 62.28 | $0.963 | $59.98 | Jun 3, 2025 |
 Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | sell | 60.4 | $0.993 | $59.98 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Krishna Mathoera be the next president of Suriname after the election?No | buy | 60.4 | $0.998 | $60.28 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?No | buy | 14.8 | $0.998 | $14.77 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 9–16?No | buy | 14.77 | $0.975 | $14.4 | May 14, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.4 | $0.980 | $14.11 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times April 25–May 2?No | buy | 14.12 | $0.998 | $14.09 | May 1, 2025 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 3.54K | $0.985 | $3.49K | May 1, 2025 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 3.54K | $0.985 | $3.49K | May 1, 2025 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 3.54K | $0.984 | $3.48K | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on April 30?Yes | buy | 14.09 | $0.997 | $14.05 | Apr 30, 2025 |