Latest trade
Apr 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 8:24 AM UTC.
Analytics
nelsonfrancisco has made $77.13 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-29 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 8:24 AM UTC.
$100.14 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 40 markets; 84.0% were buys. They run from May 27, 2025 UTC to Apr 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 121.07 | $0.999 | $120.95 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-29 07:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 08:24 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 08:24 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-29 07:03 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $168.37 and losing ones cost $92.26 across the latest 50 settled positions. 56% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $82.16 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?” (No); the largest loss, $49.08 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 26 Apr 2026. It has traded 86 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 120.51 |
| $0.998 |
| $120.27 |
| Apr 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 108.23 | $0.999 | $108.12 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 104.08 | $0.999 | $103.98 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?No | buy | 12.58 | $0.999 | $12.57 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 120.25 | $0.998 | $120.01 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 33.99 | $0.999 | $33.96 | Mar 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 81.34 | $0.998 | $81.18 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 26.43 | $0.999 | $26.4 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 17.13 | $0.996 | $17.06 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 107.04 | $0.999 | $106.93 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 46.33 | $0.998 | $46.24 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 114.8 | $0.997 | $114.46 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by March 3?No | buy | 96.75 | $0.995 | $96.3 | Mar 3, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 27.28 | $0.987 | $26.93 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 22.4 | $0.989 | $22.15 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No | buy | 82.14 | $0.999 | $82.06 | Feb 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No | buy | 18.4 | $0.998 | $18.36 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?No | buy | 151.01 | $0.990 | $149.47 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 61.51 | $0.999 | $61.45 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 161.62 | $0.998 | $161.3 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?No | buy | 172.2 | $0.999 | $172.03 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.41 | $0.993 | $15.3 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 48.88 | $0.999 | $48.83 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 93.29 | $0.964 | $89.93 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 71.67 | $0.042 | $3.01 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.999 | $1.07 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Trump out as President in 2025?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.999 | $1.41 | Dec 27, 2025 UTC |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.987 | $1.47 | Dec 23, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.996 | $2.62 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 16.22 | $0.140 | $2.27 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 16.22 | $0.680 | $11.03 | Jul 14, 2025 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 241.65 | $0.660 | $159.49 | Jun 27, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 156.37 | $0.996 | $155.74 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 156.38 | $0.997 | $155.91 | Jun 22, 2025 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 149.25 | $0.984 | $146.86 | Jun 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 123.83 | $0.994 | $123.09 | Jun 16, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 123.83 | $0.995 | $123.21 | Jun 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 127.99 | $0.993 | $127.09 | Jun 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 128 | $0.994 | $127.23 | Jun 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | sell | 126.24 | $0.997 | $125.86 | Jun 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?No | buy | 15.24 | $0.993 | $15.13 | Jun 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Aston Martin be the 2025 Constructors Champion?No | buy | 126.24 | $0.998 | $125.99 | Jun 6, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 121.51 | $0.990 | $120.3 | Jun 4, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 121.51 | $0.993 | $120.66 | Jun 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 124.91 | $0.992 | $123.91 | Jun 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana dip to $120 in May?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.999 | $6.51 | May 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 124.91 | $0.993 | $124.04 | May 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 132.28 | $0.994 | $131.49 | May 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana dip to $110 in May?No | buy | 9.95 | $0.994 | $9.89 | May 27, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.