Latest trade
Jul 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 10:32 PM UTC.
Analytics
Optimistic-Yang is down $27.52 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 6 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 10:32 PM UTC.
$77.78 median trade
Its latest 39 trades covered 30 markets; 84.6% were buys. They run from Mar 29, 2026 UTC to Jul 6, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.15K | $0.024 | $134.87 | +$34.88 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 617.28 | $0.126 | $77.78 | Jul 6, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-20 01:14 UTC
Polymarket public position response
13 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 22:32 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
39 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 22:32 UTC
polymarket positions
7 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 01:14 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $1.05K and losing ones cost $134.79 across 6 settled positions. 16.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $1.05K on “Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?” (Yes); the largest loss, $56.67 on “Iran closes its airspace by May 18?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 6 Jul 2026. It has traded 30 markets. Its open positions are worth $685.6 across 13 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 702.52 |
| $0.253 |
| $108.89 |
| -$69.11 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.76K | $0.021 | $102.38 | +$2.39 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.78K | $0.018 | $54.17 | +$4.17 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.2K | $0.024 | $52.52 | -$47.47 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.13K | $0.016 | $50 | $0 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 833.33 | $0.090 | $45.83 | -$29.17 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.070 | $45 | -$25 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 453.86 | $0.220 | $43.12 | -$56.88 |
 Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.062 | $16.83 | -$83.17 |
 Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6.25K | $0.008 | $15.63 | -$34.38 |
 Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.55K | $0.011 | $11.36 | -$38.64 |
 Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10K | $0.010 | $5 | -$95 |
| buy |
| 2.21K |
| $0.034 |
| $75 |
| Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 892.85 | $0.071 | $63.39 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.070 | $70 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.090 | $75 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.062 | $100 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 806.75 | $0.074 | $60 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.058 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.95K | $0.012 | $35.36 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.012 | $25 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 617.28 | $0.162 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 617.28 | $0.162 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 892.86 | $0.112 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 990.1 | $0.101 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.089 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.083 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.040 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.289 | $300 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 355.87 | $0.281 | $100 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 524.47 | $0.280 | $146.85 | May 26, 2026 UTC |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes | sell | 833.33 | $0.052 | $43.33 | May 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.006 | $6.94 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.065 | $75.64 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 477.4 | $0.157 | $75 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.009 | $10 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.120 | $100 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 524.48 | $0.143 | $75 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.064 | $75 | May 14, 2026 UTC |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | buy | 453.86 | $0.220 | $100 | May 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 702.52 | $0.253 | $178 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.016 | $50 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.78K | $0.018 | $50 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 6.25K | $0.008 | $50 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.010 | $100 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.55K | $0.011 | $50 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.76K | $0.021 | $100 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.2K | $0.024 | $100 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.15K | $0.024 | $100 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.