Latest trade
Oct 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:19 PM UTC.
Analytics
Frivolous-Pear has made $223.34 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 8 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 15, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:19 PM UTC.
$4.9 median trade
Its latest 46 trades covered 15 markets; 89.1% were buys. They run from Jun 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 15, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? | Yes | 161.9 | $0.210 | $24.29 | -$9.71 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | 8d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-15 14:00 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 23:19 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
46 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 23:19 UTC
polymarket positions
10 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-15 14:00 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $317.13 and losing ones cost $29.83 across 8 settled positions. 75% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $184.28 on “Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?” (Yes); the largest loss, $28.73 on “Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Oct 2026. It has traded 15 markets. Its open positions are worth $49.79 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.090 |
| $17 |
| -$1 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.140 | $8.5 | -$5.5 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.760 |
| $76 |
| 15d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.1% before 2027?Yes | buy | 89 | $0.902 | $80.3 | Sep 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Sep 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Yes | sell | 98.42 | $0.079 | $7.76 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?No | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Aug 19, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $1.96 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.090 | $5.4 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.090 | $12.15 | Aug 4, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.090 | $0.45 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 50 | $0.493 | $24.65 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.32 | $0.100 | $0.93 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Yes | buy | 15.9 | $0.220 | $3.5 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Yes | buy | 64.1 | $0.220 | $14.1 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes | buy | 90.68 | $0.100 | $9.07 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 99.85 | $0.202 | $20.17 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 4.14 | $0.194 | $0.8 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.194 | $0.97 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.194 | $0.24 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.194 | $0.24 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.194 | $0.24 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.194 | $0.24 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.194 | $0.24 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.194 | $0.24 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.194 | $0.24 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.194 | $0.24 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.194 | $0.24 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.194 | $0.24 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.194 | $0.24 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.194 | $0.24 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.194 | $0.24 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.194 | $9.7 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.194 | $1.18 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.194 | $1.18 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 12.41 | $0.194 | $2.41 | Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.209 | $20.9 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.228 | $22.8 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Yes | buy | 98.43 | $0.356 | $35 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?Yes | buy | 147.91 | $0.270 | $40 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Yes | buy | 161.9 | $0.210 | $34 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.