Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 154.31 | $0.116 | $17.97 | 1d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 23.48 |
| $0.046 |
| $1.09 |
| 1d ago |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | sell | 11.62 | $0.920 | $10.69 | 1d ago |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.080 | $2.32 | 1d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.736 | $4.8 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 246.02 | $0.196 | $48.22 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 246.02 | $0.196 | $48.22 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes | sell | 105.1 | $0.999 | $104.99 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 105.1 | $0.919 | $96.6 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.89 | $0.700 | $4.82 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 12.61 | $0.381 | $4.8 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12.62 | $0.382 | $4.82 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 32.05 | $0.151 | $4.84 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 154.31 | $0.320 | $49.38 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Yes | buy | 23.48 | $0.210 | $4.93 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.170 | $4.93 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 209.8 | $0.021 | $4.49 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.1 | $0.172 | $4.49 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 460.62 | $0.010 | $4.49 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?No | buy | 39.39 | $0.228 | $8.98 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.45 | $0.200 | $4.49 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.180 | $3.46 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.06 | $0.381 | $3.07 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.205 | $4.89 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.270 | $7.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.24 | $0.140 | $4.37 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | sell | 13.7 | $0.580 | $7.95 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.26 | $0.488 | $7.44 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?No | sell | 10.08 | $0.144 | $1.45 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.05 | $0.600 | $8.43 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 13.71 | $0.728 | $9.98 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.991 | $9.99 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.06 | $0.710 | $9.98 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.26 | $0.654 | $9.98 | May 24, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.090 | $2.81 | May 22, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.08 | $0.800 | $11.26 | May 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.740 | $4.93 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.423 | $7.29 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.600 | $9.83 | May 8, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.700 | $9.86 | May 8, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.42 | $0.070 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.66 | $0.740 | $4.93 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.77 | $0.180 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.610 | $4.92 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 11.62 | $0.850 | $9.88 | May 8, 2026 |