Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.6 | $0.981 | $8.44 | May 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 8.45 |
| $0.780 |
| $6.59 |
| Apr 19, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.979 | $6.45 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.929 | $5.99 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.99 | $0.933 | $5.59 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 6?Yes | sell | 99.9 | $0.056 | $5.59 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 6?Yes | buy | 99.9 | $0.303 | $30.27 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?Yes | buy | 30.27 | $0.740 | $22.4 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.700 | $22.4 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.670 | $21.44 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 21.44 | $0.938 | $20.11 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.82 | $0.750 | $20.12 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.82 | $0.670 | $17.97 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 17.97 | $0.988 | $17.75 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?No | buy | 17.75 | $0.987 | $17.52 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No | buy | 17.52 | $0.977 | $17.12 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?No | buy | 17.12 | $0.992 | $16.98 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?No | buy | 16.98 | $0.997 | $16.93 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 16.27 | $0.370 | $6.02 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.94 | $0.992 | $4.9 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 25?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the US strike another country first?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Cuba next?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 25?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |