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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.75 | $0.952 | $0.73 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.966 | $4.83 | Jun 24, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.956 |
| $4.78 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 28 | $0.930 | $26.04 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 28 | $0.930 | $26.04 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.090 | $2.34 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.090 | $0.18 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.060 | $3.24 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.110 | $2.86 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 23 | $0.956 | $21.99 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 28 | $0.943 | $26.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.160 | $4.32 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 52 | $0.470 | $24.44 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 52 | $0.510 | $26.52 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.640 | $21.12 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.640 | $21.12 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.500 | $22.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.016 | $1.23 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | sell | 36 | $0.973 | $35.03 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.973 | $35.03 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 67 | $0.370 | $24.79 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.982 | $35.35 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.985 | $35.46 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.670 | $5.36 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.94 | $0.670 | $10.01 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.811 | $38.93 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.807 | $35.51 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.460 | $35.88 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 42 | $0.950 | $39.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 42 | $0.952 | $39.98 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 13 | $0.955 | $12.42 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 43 | $0.860 | $36.98 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.870 | $37.41 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 7 | $0.799 | $5.59 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 43 | $0.940 | $40.42 | May 27, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 43 | $0.930 | $39.99 | May 26, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | May 24, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.690 | $20.7 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 34 | $0.768 | $26.11 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 34 | $0.736 | $25.02 | May 24, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 36 | $0.960 | $34.56 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 12 | $0.964 | $11.57 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 25.75 | $0.963 | $24.8 | May 21, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 128.93 | $0.975 | $125.67 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 779 | $0.030 | $23.37 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.030 | $31.44 | May 14, 2026 |
 Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?No | buy | 297 | $0.971 | $288.39 | May 14, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 180 | $0.989 | $178.02 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 65.55 | $0.033 | $2.16 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.033 | $39.04 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 309 | $0.031 | $9.58 | May 13, 2026 |