Latest trade
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 11:02 AM UTC.
Analytics
gurstag is down $40.69 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 38 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 11:02 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 36 markets; 68.0% were buys. They run from Jan 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 23.81 | $0.042 | $12.27 | +$11.27 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | sell | 8.57 | $0.036 | $0.31 | 2d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-18 12:05 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 11:02 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 11:02 UTC
polymarket positions
40 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-18 12:05 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $46.09 and losing ones cost $29.78 across 38 settled positions. 52.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $17.31 on “Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $6.36 on “Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Oct 2026. It has traded 68 markets. Its open positions are worth $14.87 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 6.25 |
| $0.480 |
| $2.59 |
| -$0.41 |
| sell |
| 3.7 |
| $0.230 |
| $0.85 |
| Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.021 | $0.11 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.500 | $3.33 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.070 | $0.21 | Apr 8, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.027 | $0.21 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
 Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.043 | $0.17 | Mar 28, 2026 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 2.43 | $0.530 | $1.29 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No | sell | 6.21 | $0.682 | $4.24 | Mar 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No | buy | 6.21 | $0.161 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Mar 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | sell | 1.58 | $0.248 | $0.39 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.904 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.240 | $0.5 | Feb 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.32 | $0.991 | $2.3 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.130 | $0.54 | Feb 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.780 | $2.83 | Feb 18, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jan 24, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.