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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.52 | $0.040 | $0.01 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 41 | $0.966 | $39.61 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 41 |
| $0.966 |
| $39.61 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.033 | $2.28 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 107 | $0.032 | $3.42 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.340 | $7.48 | Jun 25, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 13 | $0.640 | $8.32 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 21 | $0.977 | $20.52 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.320 | $12.8 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.920 | $37.72 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.920 | $37.72 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 45 | $0.939 | $42.25 | Jun 19, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.080 | $3.28 | Jun 19, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.080 | $3.28 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.899 | $38.66 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 33 | $0.400 | $13.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.250 | $5.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.015 | $1.26 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 54 | $0.760 | $41.04 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.460 | $21.16 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.813 | $4.06 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.811 | $38.12 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.310 | $26.35 | May 30, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.410 | $16.81 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.985 | $38.42 | May 29, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.440 | $37.4 | May 28, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.031 | $0.34 | May 23, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.040 | $1.6 | May 20, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.075 | $2.78 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 73.69 | $0.200 | $14.74 | May 19, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 40 | $0.955 | $38.2 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | sell | 26 | $0.971 | $25.25 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 44 | $0.971 | $42.72 | May 18, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 3 | $0.988 | $2.96 | May 18, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.938 | $35.64 | May 14, 2026 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 24.99 | $0.156 | $3.9 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.156 | $6.4 | Apr 27, 2026 |
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.115 | $3.57 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.116 | $4.87 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 154 | $0.116 | $17.86 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 37 | $0.987 | $36.52 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.983 | $7.86 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 45 | $0.871 | $39.2 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 45 | $0.880 | $39.6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 41.75 | $0.966 | $40.33 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.967 | $43.52 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 44 | $0.969 | $42.64 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 44 | $0.968 | $42.59 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.963 | $29.85 | Apr 23, 2026 |