Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | Mar 13, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.25K |
| $0.004 |
| $5 |
| Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?Yes | buy | 260.37 | $0.009 | $2.3 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by March 31?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.015 | $1.92 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 427.96 | $0.007 | $3 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.069 | $0.63 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.999 | $3.22 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Woke" or "DEI" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?Yes | buy | 193.08 | $0.026 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?Yes | buy | 202.45 | $0.099 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 222.5 | $0.045 | $10 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.290 | $1.04 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.041 | $0.65 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.260 | $1.63 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | sell | 8.1 | $0.620 | $5.02 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.063 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 314.98 | $0.061 | $19.21 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 158.73 | $0.063 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.064 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 416.66 | $0.063 | $26.25 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 629.93 | $0.032 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.350 | $1.25 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.063 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by March 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 427.97 | $0.058 | $25 | Jan 7, 2026 |