Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 21.73 | $0.220 | $16.84 | +$12.06 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of April?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.530 | $4.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 17.11 |
| $0.380 |
| $9.5 |
| +$2.99 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? | Yes | 12.18 | $0.501 | $2 | -$4.1 |
 Ben Pasternak jailed? | Yes | 30.84 | $0.359 | $0.6 | -$10.47 |
 Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.9 | $0.436 | $0.37 | -$1.77 |
 Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | Yes | 4.5 | $0.380 | $0.11 | -$1.6 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.82 | $0.390 | $0.05 | -$0.27 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? | Yes | 0.23 | $0.189 | $0.01 | -$0.03 |
| buy |
| 13.72 |
| $0.330 |
| $4.53 |
| Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.820 | $4.94 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.410 | $4.88 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?No | buy | 21.73 | $0.220 | $4.78 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 21.06 | $0.200 | $4.21 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.68 | $0.870 | $4.94 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | sell | 29.4 | $0.110 | $3.23 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.830 | $4.94 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in April?Yes | buy | 35.75 | $0.118 | $4.23 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 end of April?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.660 | $4.92 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.480 | $4.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing?No | buy | 7.26 | $0.660 | $4.79 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Nexus FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.710 | $4.17 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.145 | $4.26 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.730 | $4.93 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?Yes | buy | 16.12 | $0.300 | $4.84 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 11.93 | $0.355 | $4.24 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.04 | $0.220 | $4.41 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.580 | $4.91 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 15 and May 22?Yes | buy | 6.52 | $0.740 | $4.83 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.770 | $4.94 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No | buy | 12.19 | $0.400 | $4.88 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 14.7 | $0.330 | $4.85 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.140 | $3.5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?No | sell | 6.8 | $0.550 | $3.74 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings?No | sell | 19.8 | $0.150 | $2.97 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 1B in Q1?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.030 | $1.44 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 10.6 | $0.180 | $1.91 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?Yes | sell | 11.6 | $0.400 | $4.64 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No | sell | 12.75 | $0.340 | $4.34 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?Yes | sell | 16.3 | $0.198 | $3.23 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?Yes | sell | 69 | $0.045 | $3.11 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.5 | $0.440 | $3.74 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 8 | $0.520 | $4.16 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 16.25 | $0.216 | $3.5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No | sell | 11 | $0.330 | $3.63 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.170 | $2.21 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.140 | $2.66 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 17.2 | $0.150 | $2.58 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.330 | $5.61 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Pharos FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 10 | $0.311 | $3.11 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.101 | $2.92 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.271 | $4.34 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?No | sell | 6 | $0.640 | $3.84 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?Yes | sell | 21.5 | $0.135 | $2.9 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.105 | $2.1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.081 | $2.51 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.010 | $0.41 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.6 | $0.740 | $4.14 | Apr 24, 2026 |