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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20 | $0.160 | $0.5 | -$2.7 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 3.23 |
| $0.310 |
| $0.44 |
| -$0.56 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.810 |
| $8.1 |
| Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.160 | $3.2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.899 | $8.99 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 15.31 | $0.653 | $10 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | May 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.633 | $6.33 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.895 | $17.9 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.75 | $0.339 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.75 | $0.339 | $5 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 7.4 | $0.983 | $7.27 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.390 | $5.85 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 US x China tariff agreement by November 10?No | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Oct 11, 2025 |