Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 77% on 10 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 77% on 10 Oct 2025 and the low 0.1% on 15 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 41% on 15 Oct 2025. $3.87M traded over the market's life.
577 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 17, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 10 Oct 2025 – 16 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2025 | 77.0% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chengpengzhao | Yes | 204.73K |
| Bbearbear | Yes | 50K |
| marius420 | Yes | 30K |
| RideorFly | Yes | 24.44K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Monad launches a token and performs an airdrop by November 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Monad, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/monad-airdrop-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| MaminTraxxxer2014 | Yes | 15.9K |
| futureisyours | Yes | 12K |
| 0xShamim | Yes | 10.73K |
| ZnonA | Yes | 10K |
| sezamc | Yes | 7.97K |
| Anon-34902 | Yes | 7.64K |
