Analytics
lightsout912 has made $3.48K on Polymarket, #34,310 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 426 | $0.223 | $230.25 | +$135.34 |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 20:44 UTC
Polymarket public position response
46 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 23:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 23:34 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-25 06:01 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.63K and losing ones cost $2.43K across the latest 50 settled positions. 78% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $910.59 on “Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $488 on “USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?” (No).
It has traded 810 markets. Its open positions are worth $945.33 across 46 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 255 |
| $0.225 |
| $137.57 |
| +$80.18 |
 Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 140 | $0.280 | $91.7 | +$52.5 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026? | Yes | 463.32 | $0.128 | $77.14 | +$17.84 |
 Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 121 | $0.298 | $60.38 | +$24.35 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? | No | 79.99 | $0.550 | $57.19 | +$13.2 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026? | Yes | 522.61 | $0.031 | $56.7 | +$40.51 |
 Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.223 | $39.25 | +$28.13 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 120.01 | $0.706 | $26.4 | -$58.26 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? | Yes | 89.99 | $0.167 | $18.9 | +$3.9 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 67.63 | $0.235 | $18.8 | +$2.91 |
 Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 107.3 | $0.839 | $16.69 | -$73.35 |
 Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 105.69 | $0.011 | $12.74 | +$11.57 |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 57.62 | $0.322 | $11.52 | -$7.01 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 12.4 | $0.510 | $9.42 | +$3.1 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026? | Yes | 210.99 | $0.015 | $9.18 | +$5.98 |
 Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? | Yes | 121.5 | $0.050 | $7.53 | +$1.51 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 30 | $0.494 | $7.05 | -$7.77 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? | Yes | 60 | $0.070 | $6.9 | +$2.7 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026? | Yes | 155.24 | $0.015 | $5.59 | +$3.23 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? | Yes | 50.03 | $0.013 | $5.48 | +$4.83 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 130 | $0.008 | $4.94 | +$3.9 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 140 | $0.013 | $4.76 | +$2.94 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? | Yes | 25.5 | $0.135 | $4.72 | +$1.28 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 900 | $0.006 | $4.05 | -$1.05 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
