Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 7:10 PM UTC.
Analytics
lightsout912 has made $3.48K on Polymarket, #34,299 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 7:10 PM UTC.
$0.33 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 15 markets; 96.0% were buys. They run from Oct 21, 2026 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 426 | $0.223 | $297.14 | +$202.22 |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.048 | $0.62 | 43m ago |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 15:16 UTC
Polymarket public position response
46 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 19:10 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 19:10 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-25 06:01 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.63K and losing ones cost $2.43K across the latest 50 settled positions. 78% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $910.59 on “Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $488 on “USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?” (No).
It first traded on 19 Jul 2025 and most recently on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 810 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.01K across 46 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 255 |
| $0.225 |
| $179.78 |
| +$122.38 |
 Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 140 | $0.280 | $96.6 | +$57.4 |
 Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 115 | $0.292 | $60.55 | +$26.92 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026? | Yes | 463.32 | $0.128 | $60.23 | +$0.93 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? | No | 79.99 | $0.550 | $57.19 | +$13.2 |
 Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.223 | $41.25 | +$30.13 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 120.01 | $0.706 | $24.6 | -$60.06 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026? | Yes | 522.61 | $0.031 | $23.52 | +$7.32 |
 Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 105.69 | $0.011 | $18.97 | +$17.81 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 67.63 | $0.235 | $18.19 | +$2.3 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? | Yes | 89.99 | $0.167 | $17.55 | +$2.55 |
 Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 107.3 | $0.839 | $16.79 | -$73.25 |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 57.62 | $0.322 | $11.24 | -$7.3 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 12.4 | $0.510 | $9.55 | +$3.22 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? | Yes | 121.5 | $0.050 | $8.63 | +$2.6 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026? | Yes | 210.99 | $0.015 | $8.02 | +$4.82 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 30 | $0.494 | $7 | -$7.81 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? | Yes | 60 | $0.070 | $6.9 | +$2.7 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? | Yes | 50.03 | $0.013 | $5.65 | +$5 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 130 | $0.008 | $4.94 | +$3.9 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 140 | $0.013 | $4.83 | +$3.01 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? | Yes | 25.5 | $0.135 | $4.72 | +$1.28 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026? | Yes | 155.24 | $0.015 | $4.19 | +$1.83 |
| Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 72.73 | $0.010 | $4.07 | +$3.35 |
| buy |
| 24 |
| $0.048 |
| $1.15 |
| 53m ago |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 12h ago |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | 12h ago |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | 12h ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.016 | $0.48 | 1d ago |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.89 | $0.002 | $0.06 | 1d ago |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.67 | $0.003 | $0.04 | 1d ago |
| Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) be released on November 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.67 | $0.002 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.62 | $0.016 | $0.36 | 1d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.051 | $0.38 | 1d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.051 | $0.51 | 1d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.051 | $0.07 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.014 | $0.94 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.014 | $0.07 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.014 | $0.14 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.014 | $0.07 | 2d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.051 | $0.51 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 90.55 | $0.961 | $87.02 | 2d ago |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.330 | $6.6 | 2d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.19 | $0.016 | $0.39 | 3d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.016 | $0.08 | 3d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.016 | $0.08 | 3d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 3d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 0.11 | $0.051 | $0.01 | 3d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.051 | $0.51 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 12.4 | $0.510 | $6.32 | 3d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.051 | $0.92 | 3d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.051 | $0.41 | 3d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.5 | $0.048 | $0.65 | 3d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.040 | $0.24 | 3d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.5 | $0.040 | $0.54 | 3d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.5 | $0.080 | $0.44 | 3d ago |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.048 | $0.29 | 3d ago |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.070 | $4.2 | 3d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes | buy | 6.23 | $0.013 | $0.08 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.013 | $0.13 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.013 | $0.08 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes | buy | 77.44 | $0.013 | $1.01 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.013 | $0.39 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.013 | $0.13 | 4d ago |
| Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.760 | $3.16 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.013 | $0.02 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.016 | $0.14 | 4d ago |
| Will Meta be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.016 | $0.08 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.99 | $0.015 | $0.1 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.015 | $0.3 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.015 | $0.48 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.016 | $0.08 | 4d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.