Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | No | 277.35 | $0.686 | $237.13 | +$46.84 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 59.99 | $0.060 | $3.6 | 3h ago |
|
| No |
| 255.13 |
| $0.831 |
| $221.96 |
| +$10.03 |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | Yes | 308.29 | $0.511 | $212.72 | +$55.29 |
 Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.880 | $197.99 | +$22 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | Yes | 680 | $0.152 | $71.4 | -$31.84 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | No | 92 | $0.530 | $67.16 | +$18.4 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 75.92 | $0.540 | $63.39 | +$22.4 |
 Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 503.81 | $0.029 | $21.16 | +$6.59 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 77.1 | $0.370 | $20.05 | -$8.48 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 50 | $0.160 | $16.5 | +$8.5 |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.120 | $16 | +$10 |
| Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | No | 15.36 | $0.800 | $14.7 | +$2.41 |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 49.55 | $0.160 | $9.91 | +$1.98 |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.460 | $9.1 | -$0.1 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.612 | $7.81 | +$1.69 |
 Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 10 | $0.640 | $5.91 | -$0.5 |
| Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 136.96 | $0.126 | $5.2 | -$12.09 |
 Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 43 | $0.080 | $3.66 | +$0.22 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.004 | $3.25 | +$1.25 |
 Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 299.99 | $0.004 | $0.75 | -$0.45 |
| buy |
| 123 |
| $0.851 |
| $104.67 |
| 10h ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)No | buy | 78.81 | $0.850 | $66.99 | 10h ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?No | buy | 72.59 | $0.620 | $45.01 | 3d ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?No | buy | 54.76 | $0.610 | $33.4 | 3d ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | 3d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?Yes | buy | 280 | $0.150 | $42 | 4d ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.520 | $11.96 | 4d ago |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.004 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?No | buy | 92 | $0.530 | $48.76 | 4d ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 330 | $0.510 | $168.3 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 190.7 | $0.928 | $176.97 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.543 | $3.87 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.139 | $33.36 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?Yes | buy | 77.1 | $0.370 | $28.53 | 6d ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 140.11 | $0.930 | $130.3 | 6d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.702 | $70.2 | 7d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on or prior to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 49 | $0.030 | $1.47 | 8d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.490 | $14.7 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on or prior to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.9 | $0.013 | $1.42 | 8d ago |
 Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | 8d ago |
 Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 15.18 | $0.030 | $0.46 | 13d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 205 | $0.569 | $116.65 | 13d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.560 | $14 | 15d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.017 | $1.7 | 21d ago |
| Will the fight be won by submission? AND O/U 4.5 Rounds | buy | 617.28 | $0.031 | $19.08 | 26d ago |
| Will the fight be won by submission? AND O/U 4.5 Rounds | buy | 621.53 | $0.031 | $19.08 | 26d ago |
| Will the fight be won by submission? AND O/U 4.5 Rounds | buy | 313.02 | $0.030 | $9.54 | 26d ago |
| Will the fight be won by submission? AND O/U 4.5 Rounds AND UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | buy | 76.7 | $0.125 | $9.58 | 26d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 507.99 | $0.306 | $155.19 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 607.99 | $0.880 | $535.03 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 103.96 | $0.001 | $0.15 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?No | buy | 59.8 | $0.763 | $45.64 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Google be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.008 | $1.64 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.370 | $14.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.356 | $7.12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.356 | $28.48 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.999 | $1.06K | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 66.95 | $0.900 | $60.26 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.798 | $19.95 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.890 | $30.26 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 162.23 | $0.028 | $4.54 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.703 | $140.55 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 39.5 | $0.899 | $35.51 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 170.46 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 265 | $0.004 | $1.06 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 France vs. England: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 100 | $0.028 | $2.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.027 | $28.87 | Jul 18, 2026 |