Analytics
lightsout912 has made $3.48K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 426 | $0.223 | $292.02 | +$197.11 |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | $0 | $0 | 4 | 1 | 0.0% | $0 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 06:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
46 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 17:11 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 17:11 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-25 06:01 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $6.63K and losing ones cost $2.43K across the latest 50 settled positions. 78% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $910.59 on “Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” (Yes); the largest loss, $488 on “USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?” (No).
It has traded 810 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.03K across 46 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 255 |
| $0.225 |
| $174.93 |
| +$117.54 |
 Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 140 | $0.280 | $93.8 | +$54.6 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 27, 2026? | Yes | 463.32 | $0.128 | $85.95 | +$26.65 |
 Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 115 | $0.292 | $61.07 | +$27.44 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? | No | 79.99 | $0.550 | $57.19 | +$13.2 |
 Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.223 | $41.25 | +$30.13 |
 Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 105.69 | $0.011 | $26.69 | +$25.52 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 120.01 | $0.706 | $24.6 | -$60.06 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 29, 2026? | Yes | 522.61 | $0.031 | $24.3 | +$8.11 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? | Yes | 89.99 | $0.167 | $18.45 | +$3.45 |
 Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 107.3 | $0.839 | $16.74 | -$73.3 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 67.63 | $0.235 | $14.47 | -$1.42 |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 57.62 | $0.322 | $12.1 | -$6.43 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 12.4 | $0.510 | $9.36 | +$3.04 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026? | Yes | 210.99 | $0.015 | $8.02 | +$4.82 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 30 | $0.494 | $7.06 | -$7.75 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? | Yes | 60 | $0.070 | $6.9 | +$2.7 |
 Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? | Yes | 84.49 | $0.050 | $6.17 | +$1.92 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? | Yes | 50.03 | $0.013 | $5.7 | +$5.05 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 130 | $0.008 | $4.94 | +$3.9 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 3%-6%? | Yes | 140 | $0.013 | $4.83 | +$3.01 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? | Yes | 25.5 | $0.135 | $4.72 | +$1.28 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 28, 2026? | Yes | 155.24 | $0.015 | $4.66 | +$2.3 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 900 | $0.006 | $4.05 | -$1.05 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
