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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | No | 18.01 | $0.833 | $16.66 | +$1.66 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 16.01 |
| $0.937 |
| $15.74 |
| +$0.74 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 13.51 | $0.740 | $12.93 | +$2.93 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10.88 | +$0.88 |
 Revolut IPO before 2027? | No | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10.39 | +$0.39 |
 Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10.14 | $0.986 | $10.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10.09 | $0.991 | $10.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10.15 | $0.985 | $10.03 | +$0.03 |
 Waymo IPO before 2027? | No | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10.05 | $0.995 | $9.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $7.32 | +$6.32 |
 Ebola pandemic in 2026? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5.39 | +$0.39 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5.33 | +$0.33 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 5.14 | $0.972 | $5.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 2.12 | $0.944 | $1.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? | No | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1.57 | +$0.57 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | No | 55.56 | $0.090 | $1.53 | -$3.47 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.912 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.23 | $0.810 | $0.23 | -$0.77 |
| buy |
| 5.95 |
| $0.840 |
| $5 |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.990 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.110 | $9.99 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.106 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 10.24 | $0.977 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 10.98 | $0.455 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.600 | $11.54 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "UFC" this week?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 28.16 | $0.860 | $24.22 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.126 | $1.26 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.970 | $2 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 PGA Championship?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.925 | $2 | May 17, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Epstein" this week?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
 PGA Championship: Playoff?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
 PGA Championship: Hole in One?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
 Ebola case in the US by June 30?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 PGA Championship?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 PGA Championship?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.440 | $1.33 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.961 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.295 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |