Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 16 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 44% on 27 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 23.5% on 19 May 2026. $328.22K traded over the market's life.
286 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 11:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 16 May 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 7.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aenews2 | Yes | 11.29K |
| Married-Jealousy | Yes | 8.17K |
| Keen Scout FE13 | Yes | 6.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ebola-case-in-the-us-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 6.02K |
| KnureKnume | Yes | 5.38K |
| planetnine | Yes | 3.28K |
| Gripping-Provision | Yes | 2.91K |
| Paradisesun | Yes | 1.49K |
| troim | Yes | 1K |
| 23449 | Yes | 893 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
