Analytics
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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 2.17K | $0.649 | $1.82K | +$411.15 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes | sell | 6.31K | $0.006 | $37.87 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.65K |
| $0.373 |
| $1.67K |
| +$676.28 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | No | 750.94 | $0.938 | $724.66 | +$20.28 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 800.01 | $0.836 | $684.01 | +$15 |
 Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 6.12K | $0.028 | $584.12 | +$412.83 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 649.99 | $0.883 | $574.91 | +$1.23 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | Yes | 1K | $0.520 | $535 | +$15 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 448.45 | $0.669 | $441.5 | +$141.5 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? | No | 412.33 | $0.900 | $383.47 | +$12.47 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 346.82 | $0.865 | $337.63 | +$37.63 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 395.62 | $0.794 | $310.56 | -$3.74 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | No | 299.98 | $0.913 | $284.84 | +$10.95 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | No | 263.95 | $0.946 | $252.07 | +$2.44 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 381.45 | $0.623 | $238.41 | +$0.59 |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | Yes | 500 | $0.351 | $224.5 | +$49 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 502.41 | $0.498 | $223.57 | -$26.93 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 230.87 | $0.294 | $212.51 | +$144.67 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 340 | $0.540 | $185.3 | +$1.7 |
 Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026? | No | 200 | $0.820 | $170 | +$6 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | No | 206.53 | $0.735 | $155.93 | +$4.06 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | No | 190 | $0.544 | $124.45 | +$21.05 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | No | 191.21 | $0.330 | $113.77 | +$50.67 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 117 | $0.690 | $111.15 | +$30.42 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 105.42 | $0.949 | $101.52 | +$1.52 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 200 | $0.480 | $99 | +$3 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.340 |
| $13.6 |
| 10h ago |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazBen Shelton | buy | 80 | $0.390 | $31.2 | 10h ago |
 Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs NavarroPegula | buy | 5.9 | $0.490 | $2.89 | 16h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 162.32 | $0.230 | $37.33 | 17h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | 17h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | 17h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.540 | $75.6 | 17h ago |
| Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 385.81 | $0.013 | $5 | 17h ago |
| Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.019 | $5.7 | 18h ago |
| Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 860.43 | $0.023 | $20 | 19h ago |
| Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 251.78 | $0.021 | $5.29 | 19h ago |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenFrances Tiafoe | buy | 20 | $0.540 | $10.8 | 21h ago |
| Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 577.69 | $0.173 | $100 | 23h ago |
| Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 423.94 | $0.236 | $100 | 23h ago |
| Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 512.31 | $0.098 | $50 | 23h ago |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?No | buy | 92.52 | $0.460 | $42.56 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 105.42 | $0.949 | $100 | 1d ago |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano DarderiLuciano Darderi | buy | 100 | $0.040 | $4 | 1d ago |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de ZandschulpArthur Gea | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | 1d ago |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de ZandschulpBotic van de Zandschulp | buy | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | 1d ago |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander BlockxFrancisco Cerundolo | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | 1d ago |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander BlockxFrancisco Cerundolo | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | 1d ago |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander BlockxFrancisco Cerundolo | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 59.66 | $0.680 | $40.57 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 117 | $0.690 | $80.73 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 231.45 | $0.630 | $145.81 | 2d ago |
| Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 1.94 | $0.035 | $0.07 | 2d ago |
| Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.035 | $36 | 2d ago |
| US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances TiafoeDaniil Medvedev | buy | 20 | $0.390 | $7.8 | 2d ago |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 231 | $0.500 | $115.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 800.2 | $0.500 | $400 | 2d ago |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes | buy | 146.06 | $0.520 | $75.95 | 2d ago |
 LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsKarmine Corp | buy | 31.36 | $0.520 | $16.31 | 3d ago |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsKarmine Corp | buy | 80 | $0.530 | $42.4 | 3d ago |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming | buy | 29.99 | $0.360 | $10.8 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | buy | 55.2 | $0.750 | $41.4 | 3d ago |
| US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner TienJakub Mensik | sell | 37.5 | $0.780 | $29.25 | 3d ago |
| US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner TienJakub Mensik | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | 3d ago |
| US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner TienJakub Mensik | buy | 40 | $0.380 | $15.2 | 3d ago |
| Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.038 | $1.14 | 3d ago |
| Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 1.46K | $0.034 | $50 | 3d ago |
| US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner TienJakub Mensik | buy | 40 | $0.560 | $22.4 | 3d ago |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Botic van de ZandschulpZizou Bergs | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 3d ago |
| US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Botic van de ZandschulpZizou Bergs | buy | 15 | $0.090 | $1.35 | 3d ago |
| US Open ATP: Michael Zheng vs Arthur GeaArthur Gea | sell | 64.99 | $0.790 | $51.34 | 3d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 40 | $0.580 | $23.2 | 3d ago |
| US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco CerundoloFrancisco Cerundolo | sell | 132.89 | $0.858 | $114.02 | 3d ago |
| US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco CerundoloFrancisco Cerundolo | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | 4d ago |
| LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerJD Gaming | buy | 30 | $0.390 | $11.7 | 4d ago |