Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No | buy | 141.41 | $0.990 | $140 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 127.68 |
| $0.979 |
| $125 |
| Aug 5, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?No | buy | 112.85 | $0.975 | $110 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 161.13 | $0.993 | $160 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InT1 | buy | 81.05 | $0.950 | $77 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?No | buy | 181.09 | $0.994 | $180 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 63.33 | $0.979 | $62 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | buy | 195.88 | $0.970 | $190 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 50.92 | $0.982 | $50 | May 30, 2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming | sell | 87.91 | $0.639 | $56.17 | May 30, 2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBilibili Gaming | buy | 87.91 | $0.910 | $80 | May 27, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 71 | $0.991 | $70.36 | May 27, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?No | buy | 181.82 | $0.990 | $180 | May 16, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 94.74 | $0.950 | $90 | May 16, 2026 |
 Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 272.54 | $0.954 | $260 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 March 30-April 5?No | buy | 50.26 | $0.994 | $49.96 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AVitality | buy | 207.83 | $0.960 | $199.52 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No | buy | 251 | $0.996 | $250 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 106.5 | $0.939 | $100 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?Yes | buy | 158.16 | $0.980 | $155 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 246.41 | $0.974 | $240 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?Yes | buy | 224.26 | $0.990 | $222 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 229.17 | $0.960 | $220 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?No | buy | 82.83 | $0.990 | $82 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $120 January 12-18?No | buy | 140.7 | $0.995 | $140 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 221.99 | $0.973 | $216 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 225.52 | $0.980 | $221 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $2.30 October 27-November 2?No | buy | 222 | $0.991 | $220 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 10?Yes | buy | 265.31 | $0.980 | $260 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 141.7 | $0.988 | $140 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 30% and 35%?No | buy | 60.06 | $0.999 | $60 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 283.11 | $0.989 | $280 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?No | buy | 166.72 | $0.996 | $166 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | sell | 162.27 | $0.999 | $162.11 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 162.27 | $0.986 | $160 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on August 6?No | buy | 314.52 | $0.992 | $312 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 200.2 | $0.999 | $200 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,400 on July 9?Yes | buy | 260.26 | $0.999 | $260 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by June 30?No | buy | 280.56 | $0.998 | $280 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 234.46 | $0.997 | $233.83 | Jun 28, 2025 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 234.47 | $0.998 | $234 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 190.38 | $0.998 | $190 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will BTC close above $98K on May 16?Yes | buy | 441.34 | $0.997 | $440 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 18–25?No | buy | 13.12 | $0.991 | $13 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will SOL flip ETH before May?No | buy | 60.12 | $0.998 | $60 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 in April?No | buy | 110.44 | $0.996 | $110 | Apr 12, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in April?No | buy | 280.28 | $0.999 | $280 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 120.12 | $0.999 | $120 | Mar 12, 2025 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by March 31?No | buy | 302.91 | $0.990 | $300 | Mar 12, 2025 |