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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 30.39 | $0.993 | $30.18 | Jun 7, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.04 |
| $0.990 |
| $1.03 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 7?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.990 | $1.03 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 7?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 7?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.980 | $1.05 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 7?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.988 | $1.05 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 7?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.999 | $3.06 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.997 | $1.7 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will gemini-3.1-pro-preview be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.997 | $1.7 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.01 | $0.993 | $8.95 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.999 | $1.35 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.999 | $1.89 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.999 | $1.16 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will SpaceX fail to complete an initial public offering by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.998 | $10.39 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 15K | $0.009 | $134.99 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.990 | $1.6 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.999 | $1.26 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.995 | $1.14 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 22?Yes | buy | 1.36 | $0.999 | $1.36 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 15.71K | $0.007 | $110 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.999 | $2.05 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 7.18 | $0.999 | $7.17 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 96.53 | $0.994 | $95.95 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 96.54 | $0.993 | $95.86 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,000 and $4,100 on October 7?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.999 | $5.14 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,900 and $4,000 on October 7?No | buy | 6.74 | $0.999 | $6.73 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on October 7?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,700 and $3,800 on October 7?No | buy | 21.02 | $0.999 | $21 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?No | buy | 5 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jul 24, 2025 |
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 587.12 | $0.006 | $3.52 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.96K | $0.003 | $17.87 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No | buy | 4 | $0.999 | $4 | Jul 20, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?No | buy | 24.96 | $0.992 | $24.76 | Mar 13, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $93000 on Mar 14?No | buy | 28 | $0.999 | $27.97 | Mar 13, 2025 |
Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.004 | $6 | Mar 13, 2025 |
Will Cristian Sima win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.004 | $4.52 | Mar 13, 2025 |
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 7 | $0.999 | $6.99 | Mar 12, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.990 | $59.4 | Mar 12, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No | buy | 130.16 | $0.996 | $129.64 | Feb 15, 2025 |
Will someone else be inaugurated?No | buy | 131.08 | $0.989 | $129.64 | Dec 28, 2024 |
Will someone else be inaugurated?No | buy | 132.7 | $0.977 | $129.65 | Dec 24, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 136.04 | $0.953 | $129.65 | Nov 28, 2024 |