Analytics
expectless is down $686.89K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 153.77K | $0.993 | $153.38K | +$644.63 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-10 19:14 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 12:19 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 12:19 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-10 19:14 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $382K and losing ones cost $417.42K across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $184.53K on “Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-19?” (Yes); the largest loss, $297.15K on “Steelers vs. Bengals” (Steelers).
It has traded 106 markets. Its open positions are worth $155.77K across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 111.91K |
| $0.136 |
| $2.29K |
| -$12.94K |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.43K | $0.359 | $58.54 | -$454.76 |
 Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.82K | $0.150 | $33.75 | -$239.88 |
 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 0.42 | $0.991 | $0.42 | +$0 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
