Latest trade
Jul 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:07 AM UTC.
Analytics
Shocked-First is down $2.19K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 38 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 12:07 AM UTC.
$92.36 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 28 markets; 68.0% were buys. They run from Jun 16, 2026 UTC to Jul 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 239.28 | $0.710 | $169.89 | Jul 18, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-20 01:24 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 00:07 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 00:07 UTC
polymarket positions
39 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-20 01:24 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $893.41 and losing ones cost $1.05K across 38 settled positions. 76.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $102.55 on “Will United States win on 2026-06-12?” (Yes); the largest loss, $540.22 on “Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Jul 2026. It has traded 51 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 426.54 |
| $0.416 |
| $177.44 |
| Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?No | buy | 250.9 | $0.707 | $177.51 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 284.09 | $0.390 | $110.8 | Jul 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?No | buy | 191 | $0.030 | $5.73 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.030 | $0.87 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?No | buy | 770 | $0.030 | $23.1 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 67.57 | $0.740 | $50 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 133.41 | $0.037 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?No | buy | 116.94 | $0.810 | $94.72 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.840 | $80 | Jul 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 426.54 | $0.211 | $90 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5Over | buy | 73.53 | $0.340 | $25 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?No | buy | 90.94 | $0.320 | $29.1 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.047 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?No | buy | 325.2 | $0.922 | $300 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 284.09 | $0.352 | $100 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 168.83 | $0.770 | $130 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 175.68 | $0.740 | $130 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.172 | $1.72 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 174.42 | $0.860 | $150 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.720 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win on 2026-07-01?Yes | buy | 129.87 | $0.770 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-06-30?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 136.99 | $0.730 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Jun 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.460 | $500 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?No | buy | 250 | $0.800 | $200 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 163.93 | $0.610 | $100 | Jun 26, 2026 UTC |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.61 | $0.989 | $7.53 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 17.31 | $0.989 | $17.12 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 17.7 | $0.989 | $17.51 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 18.12 | $0.989 | $17.92 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 18.54 | $0.989 | $18.34 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 18.97 | $0.989 | $18.76 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 19.41 | $0.989 | $19.2 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 19.87 | $0.989 | $19.65 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 20.33 | $0.989 | $20.11 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 20.8 | $0.989 | $20.57 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 21.28 | $0.989 | $21.05 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No | buy | 275.02 | $0.727 | $200 | Jun 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.910 | $350 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes | buy | 133.47 | $0.749 | $100 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | sell | 53.03 | $0.999 | $52.98 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.810 | $202.5 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.570 | $100 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed 1m ago. Watch only — not advice.