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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 87.36 | $0.120 | $10.48 | Feb 27, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 1.78 |
| $0.120 |
| $0.21 |
| Feb 16, 2026 |
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.200 | $0.38 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.260 | $0.39 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.280 | $0.46 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.290 | $0.51 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.280 | $0.5 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.320 | $0.55 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 1.56 | $0.380 | $0.59 | Feb 16, 2026 |
Will Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09?No | sell | 15.08 | $0.515 | $7.76 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?Yes | sell | 18.06 | $0.551 | $9.96 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?Yes | buy | 18.06 | $0.580 | $10.47 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.300 | $0.56 | Feb 12, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.460 | $0.82 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.89 | $0.470 | $0.89 | Feb 12, 2026 |
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.460 | $0.9 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?No | sell | 1.56 | $0.520 | $0.81 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.540 | $0.9 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?Girl | sell | 1.88 | $0.480 | $0.9 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Natural Disaster in 2026?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.520 | $0.94 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.63 | $0.600 | $0.98 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.610 | $0.99 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Feb 12, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.620 | $1.09 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Israel" 13+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?No | sell | 3.57 | $0.430 | $1.54 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.540 | $0.98 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.560 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 25% in February?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.540 | $1.02 | Feb 5, 2026 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.794 | $1.44 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?Girl | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.998 | $1.63 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.570 | $0.98 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Lisa Murkowski vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.620 | $1.03 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.630 | $1.1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.650 | $1.12 | Jan 26, 2026 |