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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alibaba AI model better than DeepSeek before March?Yes | buy | 107.89 | $0.185 | $20 | Jan 31, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 110 |
| $0.190 |
| $20.9 |
| Jan 31, 2025 |
 DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?No | buy | 60 | $0.730 | $43.8 | Jan 29, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 35 | $0.830 | $29.05 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.884 | $1.76 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will Biden and Trump shake hands at inauguration?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.900 | $55.8 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Gemini have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 56.63 | $0.600 | $33.98 | Dec 18, 2024 |