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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.89 | $0.954 | $0.87 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.943 | $36.78 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 39 |
| $0.943 |
| $36.78 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 36 | $0.870 | $31.32 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 36 | $0.870 | $31.32 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 30 | $0.961 | $28.83 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | sell | 40.97 | $0.320 | $13.11 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.540 | $7.02 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 41 | $0.920 | $37.72 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 41 | $0.920 | $37.72 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 29 | $0.740 | $21.46 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 116 | $0.115 | $13.34 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 45 | $0.860 | $38.7 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 45 | $0.860 | $38.7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.870 | $35.67 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 39 | $0.986 | $38.45 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.160 | $2.24 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.800 | $26.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.740 | $32.56 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.861 | $15.5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.973 | $31.14 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.973 | $31.14 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.580 | $31.9 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.320 | $11.52 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.340 | $4.42 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 27 | $0.530 | $14.31 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.9 | $0.530 | $13.73 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.690 | $32.43 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.680 | $31.96 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.969 | $31.98 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 19 | $0.747 | $14.19 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.808 | $35.55 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 34.8 | $0.480 | $16.7 | May 31, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 64 | $0.570 | $36.48 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 54 | $0.180 | $9.72 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 127 | $0.210 | $26.67 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.580 | $10.44 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 137 | $0.014 | $1.92 | May 27, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 42 | $0.915 | $38.43 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 31 | $0.979 | $30.35 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.982 | $30.44 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.986 | $33.52 | May 23, 2026 |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.973 | $36.97 | May 22, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 28.86 | $0.045 | $1.3 | May 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.016 | $1.2 | May 21, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 61 | $0.550 | $33.55 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 34 | $0.987 | $33.56 | May 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 25 | $0.958 | $23.94 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 34 | $0.968 | $32.91 | May 20, 2026 |