Analytics
menelik is down $20.34K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-20 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 377.99 | $0.831 | $334.33 | +$20.15 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-20 01:13 UTC
Polymarket public position response
10 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 02:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 02:35 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-20 01:13 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $5.78K and losing ones cost $2.21K across the latest 50 settled positions. 72% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $669.1 on “Thunder vs. Lakers” (Thunder); the largest loss, $353.4 on “MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?” (Yes).
It has traded 406 markets. Its open positions are worth $772.62 across 10 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.720 |
| $143 |
| -$1 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 113.59 | $0.775 | $111.83 | +$23.83 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 120 | $0.930 | $109.8 | -$1.8 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.41 | $0.934 | $20.63 | +$0.63 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 67.48 | $0.326 | $15.72 | -$6.28 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 115.79 | $0.190 | $11.98 | -$10.02 |
 Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | No | 11.46 | $0.960 | $11.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? | No | 10.92 | $0.910 | $10.55 | +$0.62 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 130.68 | $0.765 | $3.72 | -$96.28 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
