Latest trade
Apr 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:13 PM UTC.
Analytics
Misty Quasar 51C9 is down $221.65 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 4:13 PM UTC.
$4.53 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 131 markets; 42.0% were buys. They run from Apr 7, 2026 UTC to Apr 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | sell | 22.42 | $0.170 | $3.81 | Apr 25, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 14:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 16:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 16:13 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 14:32 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $197.02 and losing ones cost $346.22 across the latest 50 settled positions. 42% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $96.65 on “Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?” (No); the largest loss, $60.97 on “Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Apr 2026. It has traded 146 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 9.55 |
| $0.994 |
| $9.49 |
| Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?No | sell | 17.94 | $0.962 | $17.26 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 51.97 | $0.933 | $48.51 | Apr 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 3.37 | $0.720 | $2.43 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 70 | $0.720 | $50.4 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | sell | 10.67 | $0.999 | $10.66 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.11 | $0.930 | $8.47 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?Yes | sell | 9.83 | $0.861 | $8.46 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 78.3 | $0.782 | $61.21 | Apr 23, 2026 UTC |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50.73 | $0.370 | $18.77 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?No | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?Yes | sell | 6.23 | $0.140 | $0.87 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 17.12 | $0.060 | $1.03 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 156.91 | $0.260 | $40.8 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | buy | 20.07 | $0.985 | $19.77 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.97 | $0.820 | $13.92 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes | buy | 12.14 | $0.947 | $11.5 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?Yes | sell | 3.28 | $0.700 | $2.3 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.243 | $0.97 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 11.5 | $0.245 | $2.82 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 156.91 | $0.450 | $70.61 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.02 | $0.760 | $6.86 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 9.46 | $0.510 | $4.82 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 87.93 | $0.840 | $73.86 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 27.61 | $0.491 | $13.55 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?Yes | sell | 4.4 | $0.690 | $3.04 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?Yes | sell | 7.87 | $0.720 | $5.67 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?No | sell | 63.39 | $0.210 | $13.31 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes | sell | 258.82 | $0.993 | $257.08 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 3.46 | $0.910 | $3.15 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 245.83 | $0.153 | $37.67 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.100 | $0.11 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 8.41 | $0.890 | $7.48 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 22.53 | $0.168 | $3.79 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?No | sell | 105.37 | $0.018 | $1.87 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?Yes | sell | 4.37 | $0.290 | $1.27 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?Yes | sell | 75.88 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?Yes | buy | 16.46 | $0.990 | $16.3 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.981 | $4.9 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?Yes | sell | 94.84 | $0.446 | $42.32 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?Yes | buy | 11.89 | $0.242 | $2.88 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.234 | $1.08 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?No | buy | 4.68 | $0.354 | $1.66 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?Yes | buy | 4.83 | $0.651 | $3.14 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?No | sell | 10.27 | $0.512 | $5.26 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?No | sell | 6.5 | $0.513 | $3.33 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?No | sell | 1.77 | $0.577 | $1.02 | Apr 20, 2026 UTC |