Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?

Resolved

No, settled May 17, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$101.3K

Resolved

Settled

May 17, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 17 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 40% on 21 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 21 Mar 2026 to 17 May 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40.5% on 22 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 16 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 30.5% on 24 Mar 2026. $101.25K traded over the market's life.

65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 18, 2:12 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 21 Mar 2026 – 17 May 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
21 Mar 2026	40.0%
17 May 2026	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	17.12K
Silver Meteor AE74	Yes	402.71
Miserable-Samovar	Yes	400.88

10 of 65 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage (% Total Asistentes) in the first round presidential elections, calculated by dividing attendees (Asistentes) by eligible voters (Electores hábiles). This market will resolve solely based on turnout for the first-round Presidential (Presidencial) election; turnout for Congress members (Congresistas), the Senate (Senado), or the Andean Parliament (Parlamento Andino) will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)