Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 54.95 | $0.910 | $52.2 | +$2.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | 20d ago |
 |
| No |
| 35.71 |
| $0.840 |
| $30.54 |
| +$0.54 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.240 | $5.5 | -$2.5 |
| buy |
| 33.33 |
| $0.240 |
| $8 |
| 21d ago |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35.13 | $0.854 | $30 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 7.27 | $0.963 | $7 | May 19, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.840 | $12 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 14.63 | $0.410 | $6 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?No | buy | 51.15 | $0.950 | $48.59 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?Yes | buy | 21.25 | $0.941 | $20 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.700 | $40 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of November?Yes | buy | 10.71 | $0.840 | $9 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 28.09 | $0.890 | $25 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.960 | $40 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $3800 on August 11?Yes | buy | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Yes | sell | 39.28 | $0.963 | $37.83 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 53.5 | $0.800 | $42.8 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 July 28–August 3?No | buy | 41.28 | $0.969 | $40 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Yes | buy | 39.29 | $0.560 | $22 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 104.8 | $0.975 | $102.18 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?No | buy | 200 | $0.977 | $195.4 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?No | buy | 13.19 | $0.910 | $12 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.660 | $12 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $80 in April?No | buy | 11.73 | $0.938 | $11 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times April 11–18?No | buy | 11.21 | $0.982 | $11 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Solana above $130 on March 28?Yes | buy | 14.13 | $0.920 | $13 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will Solana hit $190 in March?No | buy | 13.76 | $0.945 | $13 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 28 - March 7?No | buy | 13.28 | $0.979 | $13 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.880 | $16 | Mar 5, 2025 |
 Will Brian Armstrong say Base during his X space?Yes | buy | 20.21 | $0.940 | $19 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 19.79 | $0.960 | $19 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump post 80-89 times on Truth Social from Feb 14-21?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.910 | $14 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 41.16 | $0.998 | $41.08 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Jan 17-24?Yes | buy | 40.73 | $0.491 | $20 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?Yes | buy | 19.57 | $0.971 | $19 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will the December 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.34°C?No | buy | 21.45 | $0.979 | $21 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 20.75 | $0.964 | $20 | Dec 29, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Dec 6-13?No | buy | 21.01 | $0.952 | $20 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 41.16 | $0.875 | $36 | Dec 7, 2024 |