Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 27 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 27 Nov 2025 to 28 Nov 2025, the highest close was 19.5% on 27 Nov 2025 and the lowest 4.5% on 28 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 4.5% on 28 Nov 2025. $91.39K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 30, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Nov 2025 – 28 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Nov 2025 | 19.5% |
| 28 Nov 2025 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| anta | Yes | 3K |
| veryuniqusername | Yes | 1K |
| sniper8888 | Yes | 705.52 |
| mengen | Yes | 599.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the market 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?' (https://polymarket.com/event/russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 4-hour period between 10:00 AM and 1:59 PM ET on November 28, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the “Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-15-friday or through the “Resolution” tab on with the time set to look at a specific four hour window. This will display the 4-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Resolution source: https://federivative.polymarket.com/index/russia-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-15-friday
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/odds-of-russia-x-ukraine-ceasefire-in-2025-on-friday
| juyt | Yes | 450 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| Gleeful-Rope | Yes | 122.9 |
| jeremyvandort | Yes | 100 |
| etinarcadiaego777 | Yes | 100 |
| DyscalculicMathemagican | Yes | 92.04 |
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