Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Yes | buy | 46.04 | $0.750 | $34.53 | Aug 6, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 25.25 |
| $0.750 |
| $18.94 |
| Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?Yes | buy | 680.2 | $0.147 | $99.87 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?Yes | buy | 22.31 | $0.800 | $17.85 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Yes | sell | 29.31 | $0.370 | $10.84 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Yes | sell | 66.49 | $0.220 | $14.63 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.982 | $0.99 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1 | $0.993 | $0.99 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.560 | $0.98 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.976 | $1.22 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.870 | $0.99 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.954 | $1.91 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | buy | 7.49 | $0.860 | $6.44 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Yes | buy | 37.31 | $0.670 | $25 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?Yes | buy | 29.31 | $0.853 | $25 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 77.47 | $0.065 | $5 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 11.55 | $0.880 | $10.16 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.140 | $1.27 | Jun 10, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | sell | 192.3 | $0.260 | $50 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 6.95 | $0.850 | $5.91 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 4.6 | $0.870 | $4 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.049 | $0.58 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.080 | $2.86 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Broadcom beat Q2 earnings forecast ($1.57 EPS)?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jun 4, 2025 |